Boris’ Historic Election – Thank You EU

Congratulations to Boris! Now perhaps we can go back to having too much food, too much drink and too much indulgence over the Christmas break, without having politics upsetting us all?

Johnson this morning – photo from BBC

This huge victory will set the direction of politics for the next 10 years. Yes, we predict another term for BoJo starting in 2024. I am indebted to my older contact who has already pointed out that by December 2024, Labour will have only had one election-winning leader in 50 years. FIFTY YEARS!!! Step forward Tony Blair. You achieved the success that eluded Jim Callaghan, Michael Foot, Neil Kinnock, Gordon Brown, Ed Milliband and now Jeremy Corbyn. Oh, and John Smith too…… Did I miss any?

Jim Callaghan – never won
Michael Foot – never won
John Smith – never won (though to be fair he never tried)
Neil Kinnock – never won
Gordon Brown – never won
Ed Milliband – never won
Mr Corbyn – he didn’t win either (twice)
Tony Blair – the only one to win in 50 years – and yet they hate him!

And to what can we allocate this massive swing in the vote for the Tory Party? Why, the EU!! What a change for the European project to be assisting the blues! It was the disdainful response of Frau Merkel to David Cameron’s pleas for moderating change that set the ball rolling towards a leave vote. This was compounded by the EU inaction during the referendum campaign. Where were Messrs Junckers and Tusk during the lead up to the vote? They were not in UK sharing the vision and love were they? Their next mistake was to play hardball too much with Mrs May, forcing her on to the defensive at home. One has to surmise that they thought a Remainer-Parliament was their best hope of keeping the UK on board. But they overplayed their hand, sending Theresa back with too much of a surrender bill. This off-hand treatment was compounded by the humiliation and shunning that Mrs May received from the other EU leaders at Salzburg. So the scene was set for Parliament to respond to the lack of co-operation… which led to Boris becoming leader…. which led to the election. One has to hope that they will work with Boris as an equal!

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[The End of May]2

Oh those happy, naïve, days back in January, where we were asking How Long Can The Brexit Fun Last? We thought 3 or 4 weeks would be the most we could stretch it out. And now, 4 months later, we foresee another 18 months of this disaster. Was there ever a slower car-crash?????

Here’s why;

  1. Mrs May’s deal is dead in the water. It is more Zombie’d than a Zombie-thing. Even though there is less than the thickness of a fag-paper (which is approx 2 thou’) between the reds and blues, they cannot agree a deal.

    Mrs May
  2. And even if they do agree a deal, it won’t get through Parliament – either it has a customs union, which will lose more Tory support than it gains from Labour, or it doesn’t have a customs deal – in which case Labour won’t back it.

  3. Both lots will receive an even larger drubbing in the European Elections on 23 May than they suffered in the local council elections

  4. So there can be no general election – all those turkeys in Parliament still won’t vote for Christmas. But Mrs May will finally have to admit defeat!

  5. So the only solution is a new Tory leader. On the over-riding need to win the next election, it will be BoJo or Liz Truss………….

    Johnson and Truss in an appropriate setting (photo from Nursery Times)
  6. ………..who will then inform Messrs. Barnier, Juncker and Tusk that they negotiated too tough a deal, and that it will never pass Parliament.

  7. Hence the EU must choose – another 12 months to negotiate a deal that is fair to UK, or No-Deal on 31 October.

  8. The EU will huff and puff, but back down. It doesn’t want to be blamed for No-Deal

 

You heard it here first;-

The End of May by the End of May

Brexit Delayed until 31 October 2020

Now can we all get on with our lives?  Er, no. We have all the drama of the Euro Elections, the Peterborough By-election, a Tory leadership election, and Brexit Delay. The fun clearly has months to run!

PS. Did you like the Quant-joke in the headline?

[The End of May]2 = [The End of May] * [The End of May] = The End of May BY The End of May

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